Manassas data center market brief

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Market Brief · AVOIDDCPI score pending · Live as of 75% live coverage · 6/8 sections

At a Glance 2 of 3 KPIs live

Operational8,386 MWsum of the sites that report MW; most do not
Pipeline1,197 MW
FacilitiesGlobal facility map
Queue WaitNot tracked
Top OperatorAmazon Web Services

Power & Grid 4 of 5 metrics live

ISOPJM
Queue Capacity71,425 MW
Queue WaitNot tracked
Reserve Margin14.5%
Gen Additions 12mo3,213 MW
Interconnect Pending298,078 MW

Pipeline 12 projects tracked

OperatorFacilityPowerStatusETA
Yondr GroupYondr Loudoun County Expansion (270 acres)240 MWPlannedNot tracked
EdgeCore Digital InfrastructureEdgeCore Culpeper Campus216 MWUnder ConstructionNot tracked
STACK InfrastructureSTACK NVA05 Campus200 MWUnder ConstructionNot tracked
Prime Data CentersPrime Data Centers Ashburn120 MWUnder ConstructionNot tracked
Compass DatacentersCompass Loudoun County Campus100 MWUnder ConstructionNot tracked
PowerHouse Data CentersPowerHouse Arcola80 MWUnder ConstructionNot tracked
CloudHQCloudHQ Manassas64 MWUnder ConstructionNot tracked
EdgeCore Digital InfrastructureEdgeCore Ashburn Moran Road57 MWUnder ConstructionNot tracked
EdgeCore Digital InfrastructureEdgeCore Ashburn Maries Road57 MWUnder ConstructionNot tracked
Yondr GroupYondr Allegro North Campus (Loudoun County)48 MWUnder ConstructionNot tracked
Vantage Data CentersVantage Virginia Expansion15 MWPlannedNot tracked
PowerHouse Data CentersPowerHouse 95 (Spotsylvania)Not trackedUnder ConstructionNot tracked

Operator Footprint 5 operators tracked

OperatorFacilitiesTotal MW
Amazon Web Services20800 MW
AWS100 MW
CloudHQ5190 MW
Quality Technology Services315 MW
CloudHQ, LLC20 MW

M&A Activity (24mo) Coverage building

Coverage building for M&A activity (24mo)
We will surface live M&A activity (24mo) data here as soon as our deals-tracker crawl returns rows for Manassas. Full coverage typically lands within ~6 months of a market joining the DCPI.

Comps Coverage building

Coverage building for powered-shell and land comps
We will surface live powered-shell and land comps data here as soon as our transaction-tracker crawl returns rows for Manassas. Full coverage typically lands within ~6 months of a market joining the DCPI.

Risk Factors 1 of 2 signals live

12-Month Outlook

Manassas holds 1,466 MW across 94 tracked facilities, positioning it as a material submarket within Northern Virginia's hyperscale corridor. AWS operates the largest footprint with 30 combined assets (20 under AWS branding, 10 under the parent account structure), while CloudHQ maintains a five-facility presence. The market remains dominated by a small operator base, with no recent deal announcements tracked through the current period.

The DCPI verdict of AVOID reflects genuine operational constraints. The excess-power score of 36/100 signals tight power availability relative to rack demand—a critical bottleneck for colocation buyers seeking guaranteed capacity. More concerning is the constraint rating of 62/100, which sits well above the 50-point threshold that typically indicates limited rack availability, aging power distribution infrastructure, or interconnection chokepoints. For institutional investors, this combination means new lease signings will face extended lead times, limited customization options, and potential premium pricing. Greenfield development or major expansion projects will encounter permitting and utility coordination friction.

Regional deal flow tells a different story than Manassas's current inertia. Yondr Group and Cerberus acquired a 40-acre parcel in Manassas specifically for a planned 72 MW campus, signaling confidence in long-term market growth despite near-term constraints. This greenfield move suggests developers believe current tightness creates opportunity for new supply. Across Northern Virginia more broadly, Digital Realty has announced acquisitions totaling $11.3 billion, and Aligned Data Centers secured $5 billion in investment capital—capital that may eventually flow into Manassas to relieve current supply pressure. However, no recent transactions have closed within Manassas itself, and operator diversification remains low.

The market's forward trajectory depends on whether the Yondr-Cerberus campus and other pipeline projects successfully navigate local permitting and grid interconnection within 24–36 months, as continued constraint scores above 60 will push customers toward competing Northern Virginia nodes.

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